Instructor: Frank Schorfheide (University of Pennsylvania)
Dates: 1-5 September 2025
Hours: 9:30 to 13:00 CEST
Format: In person

Intended for

Practitioners, researchers, and academics interested in methods to study the interaction of aggregate and cross-sectional data.

Prerequisites

A solid background in statistics and econometrics (masters level or first-year Ph.D. level) will be useful to follow the class, but no familiarity with the Bayesian approach is required, as the course will start with a brief introduction to Bayesian econometrics.

Overview

The course focuses on modeling the joint dynamics of macroeconomic aggregates and cross-sectional data. For instance, the macroeconomic aggregates could include a measure of productivity, gross domestic product, and the unemployment rate. The cross-sectional data could include administrative or survey data on labor earnings. Such models could be used, for instance, to examine the effects of an aggregate shock, such as a productivity shock, on the cross-sectional distribution of income. The course focuses on model specification and estimation using Bayesian techniques.

Topics

    • Introduction to Bayesian inference and computation
    • Empirical Bayes methods
    • Functional autoregressive models
    • Bayesian panel data analysis
    • Modeling distributional versus unit-level dynamics
    • Empirical applications: the effect of technology and monetary policy shocks on cross-sectional outcomes



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